How the Skeptics Got It Wrong and Why It Matters
It has been called the mother of all conspiracy theories: the belief that the
vibrant, widely admired 35th President of the United States, John Fitzgerald
Kennedy, was brutally cut down not by a lone gunman with inscrutable motives,
but by a shadowy cabal of—take your pick—mobsters, Communists, radical
right-wingers, traitorous CIA operatives, or mutinous members of the
military-industrial complex. The JFK assassination has been cited by countless
commentators as the moment the U.S. lost its innocence, an event that seemed
to open a veritable Pandora’s Box of evils that have been raging riot ever
since. When Dr. Martin Luther King, Jr. was assassinated in Memphis in April
1968, Senator Robert F. Kennedy observed, “You know that fellow Harvey Lee
Oswald, whatever his name is, set something loose in this country.”1
Two months later, RFK himself was dead from an assassin’s bullets. The presidency
of JFK’s successor, Lyndon B. Johnson, engendered the “credibility gap,” as
polls showed more and more Americans no longer trusted their government. The
tragic and divisive Vietnam War was still unfolding when the Watergate scandal
emerged, followed by years of malaise. For many, at least in retrospect, the
JFK assassination marked the beginning of the end.
To dispel
the shock and confusion that ensued after accused assassin Lee Harvey Oswald
was gunned down during an abortive police transfer by stripclub operator Jack
Ruby, President Johnson convened a blue-ribbon panel composed of distinguished
leaders from both the public and private sectors and consisting of both
Democrats and Republicans. The Warren Commission, as it came to be known after
its chairman—Supreme Court Chief Justice Earl Warren—has become one of the most
vilified investigative panels in U.S. history, its name virtually synonymous
with conspiracy or cover-up. Since the commission announced its conclusions in
late 1964—principally that Lee Harvey Oswald alone killed Kennedy and there was
no evidence of a conspiracy—skepticism of its findings has become as
persistent as taxes and, in the words of one writer,
“an American obsession as deep as baseball.”2
Careful and sober analysis of the evidence affirms
the commission’s conclusions and vanquishes the arguments of the skeptics. So,
50 years on, what does it even mean to be a skeptic in this hotly contested
debate? Surely it cannot be as simple as declaring, “I don’t trust the
government, therefore I am a skeptic”; such an equation would abdicate independent
thought in favor of pure cynicism. As Michael Shermer seeks to remind us,
“skepticism is not a position; skepticism is an approach to claims, in the same
way that science is not a subject but a method.”3 Skepticism of any
government’s aims and efficacy is surely healthy—if not crucial—for a democracy;
but the point is to use critical thinking to properly assess the evidence, not
to merely doubt for the sake of doubting.
And
conspiracies do happen, sometimes even at the highest levels of our government;
Watergate and the Iran-Contra scandal were conspiracies that reached into the
highest office in the land. People in positions of influence conspire to commit
unethical and illegal acts every day; it is more commonly called corruption.
Obviously, it is imperative that we remain alert to the possibility of very
real conspiracies in our midst (eternal vigilance is the price of liberty,
after all), but it is equally important that we use our critical faculties to
distinguish verifiable evidence from idle speculation.
The Warren Commission affirmed the earlier conclusions reached by
the Dallas Police Department and the FBI: Texas School Book Depository employee
Lee Harvey Oswald fired the shots that killed John F. Kennedy from the
building’s south-eastern most sixth-floor window. Conspiracy theories positing
Oswald as a lone gunman in league with other plotters have never gained much of
a foothold in the popular imagination;
the critical point has always been whether there was a second gunman.
Journalist
Jefferson Morley has called the case “a kind of national Rorschach test of the
American political psyche,” writing, “The choices we make—to accept the
credibility of the Warren Commission.. .or to believe eyewitnesses who heard
gunshots coming from the grassy knoll, and so decide more people were
involved—are shaped, consciously and unconsciously, by our premises about the
U.S. government and the way power is exercised in America.”4
Philadelphia attorney Vincent Salandria was one of numerous skeptics who combed
through the 26 volumes of evidence published by the Warren Commission and took
heed of such witnesses. “My initial feeling,” he later explained, “was that if
this were a simple assassination, as the Commission claimed, the facts would
come together very neatly. If there were more than one assassin the details
would not fit.”5 But is reality so neat and tidy? The confusion, shock, and
pandemonium at the scene of the crime can hardly be overstated. Amidst the
sensory assault of roaring motorcycles, wailing sirens, and the highly animated
throng cheering the arrival of President John F. Kennedy and his elegant wife,
Jacqueline, one of the most momentous events of the 20th century occurred in
mere seconds. Eyewitness perceptions varied wildly. Some thought shots had come
from behind the limousine (the vicinity of the Book Depository), while others
thought they came from in front or from the right side (the grassy knoll);6
three witnesses thought the shots sounded as if they came from right inside
the President’s car.7 One witness erroneously thought a bystander
was shot in the foot and fell down.8 One of the closest witnesses
“thought [she] saw some men in plain clothes shooting back,” which certainly
didn’t happen, “but everything was such a blur.”9 Early press
bulletins reported that a Secret Service agent had been killed at the scene.10
Dallas
Morning News reporter Hugh Aynesworth,
himself an eyewitness, would later recall the difficulty of sorting out what
people at the scene were telling him: “I remember interviewing people that said
they saw certain things; some did, some didn’t. Even then there were people
making up things. Even then! I remember interviewing a young couple where the
guy was telling me that he had seen this and he had seen that, and his wife
said, ‘You didn’t see that! We were back in the parking lot when it happened!’
Even then!”11 Skeptics
were quick to emphasize the reports of eyewitnesses who seemed to contradict
the official conclusion. Several witnesses said they had heard at least four
shots fired, while the Warren Commission concluded there had only been three
shots, all fired by Oswald. There was a clear consensus, however: 81 percent of
the witnesses who expressed an opinion believed there had been precisely three
shots. (The next most common opinion—at 12 percent— was two shots.)12
Few believed they had heard more than three shots, but these exceptions would
receive an inordinate amount of attention from the doubters.
As to the
direction the shots came from, the witnesses were undeniably divided.13
To explain this, it is important to understand not only the fragile nature of
eyewitness testimony—particularly during moments of highly elevated stress14—but
also problems with eyewitness descriptions of gunfire in particular, as well
as difficulties raised by specific conditions at the scene of the crime. The
authoritative textbook, Firearms
Investigation Identification and Evidence, states, “It is extremely difficult
to tell the direction [from which a shot was fired] by the sound of discharge
of a firearm.” The authors go on to note that “little credence” should be
placed in such testimony.15 Not only that, but as Charles
Manson-prose- cutor and later JFK-assassination author Vincent Bugliosi puts
it, “Dealey Plaza resounds with echoes, the multistory buildings on the north,
south, and east sides making it a virtual echo chamber.”16 Some
eyewitnesses referred to the echoes in their testimony, and “strong
reverberations and echoes” were later noted by a bioacoustics expert conducting
experiments in Dealey Plaza for the House Select Committee reinvestigating
the crime in 1978.17 There is one fact that is hard to dispute, however:of the dozens
of witnesses who described the sound of the shots, very few (you could count them on one hand) said that they came from more than one direction.18
The rare exceptions, however, would soon be elevated to “star witness” status in pro-conspiracy books and
documentaries; they are the ones the critics used to “prove” a conspiracy.
There
are other eyewitnesses in this case, however, that the critics seized upon as
being even more damaging to the official story: the doctors and nurses who
straggled in vain to save the President’s life in Trauma Room One of Parkland
Hospital in Dallas. In statements to the press that weekend and in their
Warren Commission testimony, many of these medical professionals made
observations indicative—some strongly so—of shots from the President’s front
rather than the rear. For example, some described a massive blowout to the rear
of the head, rather than the right front— forward of the ear—where the autopsy
report placed it. The wound in the President’s throat was also referred to by
some as an entrance wound, not the exit wound the autopsy pathologists
determined it to be. Surely, the reasoning goes, these highly trained and
experienced professionals could not all be wrong.
But
they were wrong, and research shows this is not at all unusual. A study
published in 1993 in the Journal of the
American Medical Association examined 46 cases involving fatal gunshot wounds over a five-
year period. By comparing the post-mortem findings of a board-certified
forensic pathologist to the previous assessments made by trauma specialists,
the study found that the trauma specialists made errors about the nature of
bullet wounds (such as the number of bullets involved and in distinguishing
between entrance and exit wounds) in 52 percent of the cases. The study
concluded “the odds that a trauma specialist will correctly interpret certain
fatal gunshot wounds are no better than the flip of a coin.”19
In truth, as with the Dealey Plaza witnesses,
the testimony of the Parkland doctors and nurses is highly contradictory and
confused.20 They were trying to save the President’s life, not
examine his wounds to determine the direction of the shots.21
If
the eyewitness testimony was less than conclusive, perhaps the technology of
photography offered an alternative. A Polaroid photograph taken by bystander
Mary Ann Moorman captured the grassy knoll at almost precisely the instant of
the fatal shot to the President. Researcher David Lifton found a reproduction
of the photograph in a book in 1965 and quickly spotted what appeared to be a
puff of smoke in the background, “and, just behind it, a human form—someone
apparently crouched behind the wall. Were my eyes deceiving me?”22
Lifton obtained a copy of the negative used by
the book’s publisher and eagerly set about getting the film developed, even
talking his way into the darkroom. “It was exciting and frightening,” he
wrote. “Watching the images come up to full contrast, I felt I was joining the
ranks of the eyewitnesses—a year and a half after the event. And perhaps my
view was better.”23 These images weren’t “figments of my
imagination,” he said, “but realities recorded by Mrs. Moorman’s camera.”
Utilizing a higher quality source, Lifton would
later conclude that this perceived gunman was, in fact, a photographic
artifact, not a real person.24 In the meantime he had found another
gunman in the photograph. And then another. And another. And yet another.25
His findings were disputed by researcher Josiah Thompson, who had found his own
gunman (or, well, something) in a different spot in the same photograph.26
A 1988 British documentary series, The Men Who Killed
Kennedy, placed great importance on
another image discovered in the Moorman photo by researcher Gary Mack, of
what was alleged to be a man in a police officer’s uniform firing a gun from
behind the stockade fence, dubbed “Badge Man.” Independent studies by
photographic expert Geoffrey Crawley and assassination researcher Dale Myers
determined that if Badge Man were a human being of average height and build, he
would have been standing well behind the fence and elevated several feet above
ground level (32 feet behind the fence and 4.5 feet above the ground, according
to Myers’ study), which he described as “an unreasonable and untenable firing
position.”27 David
Lifton eventually decided that there was a subjective component to all of these
perceptions. “It became evident that those who were already in disagreement
with the Warren Commission conclusions found it far easier to ‘see’ people on
the knoll than those who believed in the Report,” he observed. “Eventually, I
concluded that photographic enlargements had very limited use as evidence.”28
Some of the crime scene photographs
had more to offer than blurs and shadows. There were the “three tramps” whose
pictures were snapped by newsmen shortly after police officers pulled them from
a railroad boxcar behind the grassy knoll. The Warren Commission had never
mentioned these characters; surely they could have been up to no good. Once Watergate
made national headlines, it was even pointed out that if you looked really
hard, two of the three resembled Watergate conspirators Frank Sturgis and E.
Howard Hunt—although comparisons of morphological and metric features between
the tramps and Sturgis and Hunt would ultimately rule them out as candidates.29
The story was revived in 1980, when contract
killer Charles Harrelson (father of actor Woody), was in the midst of a
six-hour standoff with Texas police. High on cocaine and threatening suicide,
Harrelson claimed involvement in the Kennedy assassination. Researchers were
quick to point out that Harrelson bore a resemblance to the tallest (“Sturgis”)
tramp.30 Harrelson later recanted the tale,31 calling the
alleged confession simply “an effort to elongate my life.”32 Later,
a book was published alleging that the third tramp was Charles Frederick Rogers
of Houston, who had disappeared following the gruesome 1965 mutilation murder
of his parents. Before long, one Chauncey Marvin Holt came forward, claiming to
have been the short (“Hunt”) tramp and a participant in a CIA assassination
plot, along with Harrelson and Rogers.33 The true names of the three men finally surfaced in Dallas police
files released to the public in 1989, and journalists were able to confirm
their identities, tracking down two who were still alive and a family member
of the third, who was deceased. The three tramps were John Forrester Gedney,
Gus W. Abrams, and Harold Doyle; they were, in the end, tramps after all.34
Umbrella
Man
Then
there was the case of the “Umbrella Man,” a mysterious figure glimpsed in
several photos, standing at the side of the road with an open umbrella over
his head on a perfectly sunny day. Was he a conspirator signaling to gunmen in
the surrounding areas, perhaps? Or could the umbrella itself have been a
sophisticated weapon, as one researcher postulated at length?35
After years of anonymity and considerable speculation, the Umbrella Man was
outed by a friend to the Dallas press; his name was Louie Steven Witt. Dimly
aware that the image of former British Prime Minister Neville Chamberlain’s
trademark umbrella was associated with then-Am- bassador Joseph P. Kennedy’s
support for Chamberlain’s policy of Nazi appeasement in the late 1930s, Witt
had come to Dealey Plaza to heckle the President—albeit at the worst possible
moment. “I think if the Guinness Book of World Records had a category for
people who were at the wrong place at the wrong time, doing the wrong thing,”
Witt told the House committee in 1978, “I would be No. 1 in that position,
without even a close runner-up.”36
One
of the most durable myths surrounding the JFK assassination concerns the
“mysterious deaths” of assassination witnesses, a story publicized nationally in 1967 by Ramparts magazine. The idea had originated with Penn Jones, the
cantankerous writer/editor/ publisher of a six-page, weekly newspaper in rural
Midlothian, Texas, who was compiling a list of witnesses who had passed away
under allegedly suspicious circumstances. The story appealed to Ramparts editor Warren Hinckle, who had been put off by what he perceived
as the overly academic style of the material the Warren Commission’s critics
were submitting to him. “I wanted something that would get people talking about
the Warren Report with the cynicism they did about the weather report,” Hinckle
later recalled. “In my book, the only reliable indicator of what is weighing on
the national consciousness is what people are talking about in neighborhood
bars. The books that had come out criticizing the Warren Report had stirred the
nation’s intellectuals but left the masses becalmed. I wanted to churn the
bars.”37 Neither Jones nor Hinckle saw a problem in the fact that of
the dozen-plus witnesses on the “mysterious deaths” list, only one of them
could, in fact, be considered a witness to the assassination. Others included
Oswald’s landlady, two newsmen who wrote about the case, one of Jack Ruby’s
lawyers, the cab driver who gave Oswald a ride following the assassination,
one of Jack Ruby’s strippers, the husband of another stripper, the brother of an eyewitness to Oswald’s slaying of Dallas police officer J.
D. Tippit approximately 45 minutes after the assassination, and TV game show
fixture Dorothy Kilgallen. Even the Ramparts staff felt the need to qualify their inclusion of Kilgallen’s
name on the list, stating, “We know of no serious person who really believes
that the death of Dorothy Kilgallen, the gossip columnist, was related to the
Kennedy assassination. Still, she was passionately interested in the case,
told friends she firmly believed there was a conspiracy and that she would find
out the truth if it took her all her life.”38 Few of these deaths
were even all that mysterious, contrary to the way they are presented in the Ramparts article.39 But factual accuracy was never really the
point. Sitting in a Brooklyn bar one day, Hinckle was gratified to hear "a
toothless old lady tell the fellow next to her about ‘all these people who
got murdered down in Texas because they knew who
killed Kennedy’—I knew then that the national consciousness barrier had been
cracked.”40
If
there is a single piece of evidence that Warren Commission skeptics have held
up as irrefutable proof of a conspiracy, it is what has come to be known as the “head snap”:
the moment in the motion picture film captured
by bystander Abraham Zapruder when the / President is shot in the head and it
snaps strongly to his left. This shocking and iconic image provides the climactic
moment in Oliver Stone’s controversial conspiracy movie, JFK, shown repeatedly as actor Kevin Costner narrates: “This is the
key shot. Watch it again. The President going back to his left. Shot from the
front and right. Totally inconsistent with the shot from the Depository.
Again—back and to the left... back and to the left.. .back and to the left,”41
But does this really prove a shot from the
front? Medical experts convened by the Rockefeller Commission in 1975 42
evaluated the “head snap” and were “unanimous in finding that the violent
backward and leftward motion of the President’s upper body following the head
shot was not caused by the impact of a bullet coming from the front or right
front.”43 Drs. [Werner] Spitz, [Richard] Lindenberg and [Fred] Hodges
reported that such a motion would be caused by a violent straightening and
stiffening of the entire body as a result of a seizure-like neuromuscular reaction
to major damage inflicted to nerve centers in the brain.
Dr. [Alfred] Olivier reported that
the violent motions of the President s body following the head shot could not
possibly have been caused by the impact of the bullet. He attributed the
popular misconception on this subject to the dramatic effects employed in television
and motion picture productions. The impact of such a bullet, he explained, can
cause some immediate movement of the head in the direction of the bullet,
but it would not produce any significant movement of the body.44
An immediate movement of the head in the direction
of the bullet, in fact, is what can be seen at the instant of impact, between
Zapruder frames 312 and 313, as the President’s head moves forward (2.3 inches forward, according to one study), prior to the more
obvious lurch to the left beginning in frame 314.45 Other experts agree, including the members of the 1978 House
committee’s forensic pathology panel (see below),46 as well as
Vincent Di Maio, a longtime forensic pathologist and author of the widely used
textbook, Gunshot Wounds:
Practical Aspects of Firearms, Ballistics, and Forensic Techniques. In response to a suggestion that a “transfer of momentum” from
a bullet could be responsible for the head snap, Di Maio, without hesitation,
said, “No. That’s make-believe. That’s [something out of] Arnold Schwarzenegger
pictures.”47 Even
forensic expert Cyril Wecht, long one of the most vociferous critics of the
Warren Commission, when asked whether it is a “matter of physics” that a body
will move in the same direction as a bullet that strikes it, testified (in the
murder trial of Lyle and Erik Menendez) that “some of the [Newtonian] concepts,
indeed are applicable and relevant, but you have to then factor in the
biological element, the entire neuromuscular system and so on, all of the
voluntary and involuntary reflexive aspects of it.” “Sir [Isaac] Newton and
others just never dealt with those things. ... That’s just a very different
situation.”48
Shots
in the Dark
In
the face of ballooning doubts about the Warren Commission’s conclusions, the
House Select Committee on Assassinations was established to reinvestigate
JFK’s killing and pass judgment on the commission’s findings. By the time the
committee wrapped up its investigation, it had used state of the art forensic
techniques to resolve numerous questions about the assassination and the
evidence, and validate the Warren Commission’s core conclusions. However, in a
move strongly contested by several committee members, the HSCA also endorsed
the findings of a computer science professor and his assistant, indicating
that a shot had indeed been fired from the grassy knoll.
The evidence was an audio recording
of police radio transmissions made at the approximate time of the assassination
from an unknown police motorcycle with its microphone stuck in the “on”
position. While the recording contained no audible sounds of gunfire, the HSCA
endorsed the theory that the motorcycle in question was part of the
presidential motorcade; and that waveforms of sounds on the tape, as plotted by
a computer on a lengthy strip of graph paper, were identical to waveforms of
actual test shots fired in Dealey Plaza, three from the Texas School Book
Depository and one from the grassy knoll. There was a high probability, the
committee concluded, that a conspiracy had killed John F. Kennedyf49
When the findings were subjected to peer review
by a National Academy of Sciences committee, however, the failings of the
HSCA’s conspiracy theory were revealed. The Committee on Ballistic Acoustics,
better known as the Ramsey Panel—after its chairman, Nobel Prize-winning
physicist Norman F. Ramsey— found that not only was there no evidence of gun
shots on the Dallas recording, but the waveforms identified as shots were
actually recorded approximately one minute after the assassination, as voices in the recording indicated that the
limousine had already been instructed to head for Parkland Hospital.50
The House committee’s conspiracy evidence was a bust.
Even as the HSCA was confirming the
case against Oswald as the lone assassin, doubters were shifting into
overdrive, pointing fingers at an ever-increasing cast of conspiracy suspects.
While conspiracy theorists insist that their accusations are drawn from evidence,
the motley assortment of suspects they have come up with suggests that bias
plays a more prominent role.
The Radical Right
When news of the assassination was
broadcast, many initially assumed that the blame lay with members of Dallas’
highly vocal, radical right wing, who despised Kennedy for his support of the
civil rights movement and for his perceived weakness in the face of Communism.
In fact, a number of associates had warned the President not to travel to
Dallas, where U.N. Ambassador Adlai Stevenson had been spat at and struck with
a demonstrator’s picket sign just a month earlier at a United Nations Day
event. “Welcome Mr. Kennedy to Dallas,” read the facetious headline of a
full-page ad in the Dallas Morning News of November 22, over a series of
questions accusing the President of selling the country out to Communists. On
the morning of the assassination, thousands of handbills were distributed on
Dallas streets with photos of front and side views of the President’s face
arranged like a mug shot; the headline read, “WANTED FOR TREASON.”51
Suspicions of a right wing plot took a seemingly
lethal blow when the suspect—Oswald—turned out to be a self-professed Marxist
and ardent supporter of Fidel Castro. Even the President’s grieving widow
Jacqueline was taken aback. “He didn’t even have the satisfaction of being
killed for civil rights,” she said. “It had to be some silly little Communist.”52
It seemed to rob his death of any meaning.53 In fact, the Soviets could have been none too pleased to learn
that the accused assassin was the unstable young man they had reluctantly
allowed to defect to Russia in 1959 after he attempted suicide in Moscow.
(Thoroughly disillusioned with the state of Marxism in the U.S.S.R., he had returned to the United States two
years later.) Within hours of JFK’s death, Soviet propaganda organs were
declaring the assassination to be the work of a radical right wing cabal.54
The theme was picked up by left-leaning journalists in Europe and the U.S.55
Over a decade later the KGB would fabricate and disseminate evidence intended
to link Oswald to Soviet intelligence’s arch enemy, the CIA.56
To those who were predisposed to certain suspicions,
however, little evidence, authentic or otherwise, was really necessary.
Describing her “instantaneous skepticism about the official version of what
happened in Dallas,”57 conspiracy author Sylvia Meagher recalled the
moment she heard JFK’s death announced on the radio. “Someone in the room
screamed with shock and grief,” Meagher wrote. “Someone cursed the John Birch
Society and its kind. ‘Don’t worry,’ I said derisively, you’ll see, it was a
Communist who did it.’”58
Indeed, Oswald’s leftist background
was quickly seized upon by red baiters everywhere. Dallas assistant district
attorney Bill Alexander, incensed by the immediate nationwide condemnations of
notoriously conservative Dallas, even spoke of charging Oswald with participation
in a Communist conspiracy.59 “I wanted to expose Oswald for what he
was, a Communist,” Alexander said later. “I thought someone should emphasize it.
I knew that [the conspiracy charge] wouldn’t hold up, but it needed to be
said.”60 Theories
of Oswald as a Communist agent, in fact, would not fare well. While he was an
avowed leftist, the simple fact is that other leftists he came into contact
with wanted nothing to do with him.
His bogus chapter of the Fair Play
for Cuba Committee in New Orleans was a one-man operation, complete with
documents he created himself.61 He sent a (later world-famous)
photograph of himself dressed in black and brandishing a rifle to the editors
of The Militant, a Trotskyist newspaper (to show
them he was “ready for anything”); the recipients quickly threw it out, fearing
Oswald to be either a nut or a provocateur.62 When he caused a scene
at the Cuban consulate in Mexico City in October 1963, insisting upon a travel
visa to Cuba so he could join Castro’s revolution, a consulate staffer refused
and told him point blank that someone like him could bring the revolution
nothing but harm.63
CIA:
The Enemy Within?
Conspiracy theories involving secret
societies have been with us for centuries, frequently oriented along religious
lines. Religious themes are largely passe among modern conspiracists, but there
is one secret society of sorts that may inspire suspicion among Americans from
every walk of life and of all political persuasions.
The moment Jack Ruby stepped from the
shadows to gun down Oswald, prominent researcher Vincent Salandria says he
knew that the CIA had killed Kennedy. “The use of a Mafia-related killer [sic]
to dispatch the patsy while in custody, and that patsy’s patently
falsoleft-wing and liberal guises, convinced me that the assassination was the
work of U.S. intelligence.” 64 “The nature of the conspiracy that
took President Kennedy’s life was from the outset quite obvious to anyone who
knew how to look and was willing to do so,” declares researcher Martin Schotz.
“I and other ordinary citizens know, know for a fact, that there was a conspiracy and
that it was organized at the highest levels of the CIA.”65 “Is there
any doubt that Lee Harvey Oswald, quickly and deliberately portrayed by the
Government as a simple, superficial personality—a lone nut—was clearly a
well-trained and groomed tool of the intelligence establishment?” former HSCA
investigator Gaeton Fonzi asked a gathering of assassination researchers.66
“This, I suggest, should be our challenging cry for the future: We know who
killed President Kennedy. Why don’t you? ”67
Granted, as secret societies go, the Central
Intelligence Agency has two clear strikes against it: first, in contrast to
some organizations that have been singled out for suspicion over the years,
the CIA undoubtedly exists; and, second, it was not so long after the Warren
Commission closed up shop that public revelations of CIA involvement in plans
to assassinate foreign leaders began raising questions about precisely who
authorized such plots and whether such ruthless methods could conceivably be
employed against, say, a highly placed domestic target.
After this, however, evidence of the
Agency’s culpability in the President’s slaying begins to get scarce. CIA
accusers point to a commonly cited (but anonymously sourced) claim that
President Kennedy had threatened to “splinter the CIA into a thousand pieces
and scatter it to winds” after the Bay of Pigs debacle, as well as claims that
Agency personnel were bitter about his conduct during the aborted invasion.68
But historians agree that, once fences were mended, Kennedy enjoyed an
unusually close relationship with the Agency—a relationship that, according
to one CIA-commissioned report, “would only rarely be matched in future
administrations.”69 Only weeks before his death, JFK had this to say
about allegations of CIA misconduct in Vietnam: “I think that while the CIA may
have made mistakes, as we all do, on different occasions, and has had many successes
which may go unheralded, in my opinion in this case it is unfair to charge them
as they have been charged. I think they have done a good job.”70
Conspiracy theorists also may find it self-evidently
suspicious that President Johnson appointed to the Warren Commission former CIA
director Allen Dulles, who had resigned in the wake of the Bay of Pigs. Whose
idea was this? It turns out that LBJ actually recruited Dulles for the
commission at the request of Attorney General Robert Kennedy.71
Contrary to the speculation that runs rampant in pro-conspiracy literature,
JFK and Dulles greatly admired one another, and the Kennedy brothers had
considerable praise for Dulles well after the Bay of Pigs invasion.72
Suspicions about the CIA often begin with questions
about whether Oswald’s highly unusual defection to the Soviet Union in 1959
was authentic. One of the originators of the hypothesis that Oswald was not a
genuine defector but an intelligence agent was author Harold Weisberg. But
after nearly 40 years of pioneering research, Weisberg acknowledged that the
Warren Commission “checked into almost every breath [Oswald] drew,”73
and candidly admitted to Vincent Bugliosi that “much as it looks like Oswald
was some kind of agent for somebody, I have not found a shred of evidence to
support it, and he never had an extra penny.”74
The theory that may well be the most
far-fetched nevertheless demands close attention, as it picks upon
psychological wounds that, for many who lived through the 1960s and 1970s,
never fully healed. In the long, bitter aftermath of the Vietnam War, understandable
psychological factors like grief, regret, and nostalgia for a Golden Age,
however illusory—writers began mythologizing the “Camelot” of JFK’s administration
within weeks of his demise75—have inspired tendentious
interpretations of how Kennedy might have saved us from the horrors and shame
of Vietnam, had he only lived. Once confined to the fringes, such notions went
mainstream with the success of Oliver Stone’s JFK,
which endorsed the idea that high-ranking members of the military- industrial
complex executed President Kennedy because he posed a serious threat to the
war machine and its attendant profits.
According to Stone, a once-secret
document, National Security Action Memorandum (NSAM)
263, proves that JFK intended to withdraw from
Vietnam by the end of 1965, beginning with the removal of 1,000 advisors by
the end of 1963. But, as the document states, this was based on assurances by
Defense Secretary Robert McNamara and General Maxwell Taylor that “the major
part of the U.S. military task can be completed by the end of 1965... [B]y the
end of this year, the U.S. program for training Vietnamese should have
progressed to the point where 1,000 U.S. military personnel assigned to South
Vietnam can be withdrawn.” These plans were contingent upon the success of U.S.
efforts to stabilize South Vietnam’s security and end the repressive policies
of its increasingly tyrannical government. If these conditions were not met,
U.S. involvement would continue.76 Historian Stanley Karnow
explains: Early
in 1963, South Vietnam’s rigid President Ngo Dinh Diem was cracking down on
internal dissidents, throwing the country into chaos. Fearing that the turmoil
would benefit the Communist insurgents, Kennedy conceived of bringing home one
thousand of the sixteen thousand American military advisers as a way of
prodding Diem into behaving more leniently. Kennedy’s decision was codified in
National Security Action Memorandum, or NSAM 263. Its aim was to “indicate our
displeasure” with Diem and “create significant uncertainty” in him “as to the
future intentions of the United States.” Kennedy hoped the scheme, which also
scheduled a reduction of the U.S. forces over the next two years, would give
the South Vietnamese the chance to strengthen themselves.77
The strategy was unsuccessful, resulting in
Kennedy’s acquiescence to the November 1,1963, military coup that toppled the
Diem regime and, as noted in the Pentagon Papers, inadvertently deepened U.S.
involvement in Vietnam.78 Had
the President really decided to withdraw from Vietnam? In July of 1963, he
stated, “In my opinion, for us to withdraw from that effort would mean a
collapse not only of South Vietnam, but Southeast Asia, so we are going to stay
there.”79 On September 2, Kennedy stated, in an interview with
Walter Cronkite, “I don’t agree with those who say we should withdraw. That
would be a great mistake.” One week later, he was asked if he had “any reason
to doubt this so-called ‘domino theory,’ that if South Vietnam falls, the rest
of Southeast Asia will go behind it?” “No, I believe it. I believe it,” JFK responded.
“I think we should stay.” There
is conflicting evidence about JFK’s attitude during the post-coup period (by
which time, Oliver Stone and the other theorists insist the conspiracy to kill
him was already well underway).80 The day he left for Dallas, Kennedy met with Michael Forrestal,
assistant to national security advisor McGeorge Bundy, whom he reportedly
told, “I want to start a complete and very profound review of how we got into this country; what we thought we were doing; and what we now think we can do. I
even want to think about whether or not we should be there.”81
Longtime aide Kenneth O’Donnell said that Kennedy told him that he was
beginning to think about withdrawal.82 JFK even allegedly told
anti-war Oregon senator Wayne Morse, “Wayne, I want you to know you’re
absolutely right in your criticism of my Vietnam policy. Keep this in mind. I’m in the midst of an intensive study which substantiates
your position on Vietnam.”83 A1991 Newsweek article noted that such reports, “even if not
colored by wishful memories, could have been tinged with politics. And the
1,000- man withdrawal—around 6 percent of the total— was just a token that
might never have been repeated. McGeorge Bundy.. .doesn’t believe it signified any shift of policy. ‘I
don’t think we know what he would have done if he’d lived,’ Bundy said last
week. ‘I don’t know, and I don’t know anyone who does know.' ” 84
Secretary of State Dean Rusk was also skeptical that JFK was planning to
withdraw: “I had hundreds of talks with John F. Kennedy about Vietnam, and
never once did he say anything of this sort to his own secretary of state.”85
In Fort Worth, Texas, on the morning of November
22, Kennedy made his last statement about Vietnam: “Without the United States,
South Vietnam would collapse overnight.”86 At the moment JFK was
cut down, he was only minutes away from delivering a speech at the Dallas Trade
Mart, in which he had planned to reaffirm his commitment not only to Vietnam,
but another eight countries located on or near the border of the Communist
bloc. “Our assistance to these nations can be painful, risky and costly,” the
text of the speech reads. “But we dare not weary of the task.”87
The following year, the slain President’s
closest advisor and confidant, Robert F. Kennedy, discussed his brother’s
views in a Kennedy Library oral history interview with John Bartlow Martin.
“The President.. .had a strong, overwhelming reason for being in Vietnam and
[believing] that we should win the war in Vietnam,” RFK stated, “[it would
mean] the loss of all of Southeast Asia if you lost Vietnam. ... [which would]
have profound effects as far as our position throughout the world, and our
position in a rather vital part of the world.” “There was never any
consideration given to pulling out?” he was asked. “No,” Kennedy replied.88
Following a personal investigation into the
roots of political uprisings in Asia and Latin America the following year,
Robert Kennedy’s views on Vietnam began to change,89 reflecting RFK
aide Adam Wolin- sky’s concern that not only was the U.S. pursuing a “foreign
policy based on force, a reliance on military pressure almost to the complete
exclusion of politics,” but also—and crucially—“a simplistic equation of revolution
with communist conspiracy.”90 Once he began criticizing the Johnson
administration’s Vietnam policies, RFK would have had much to gain politically
by suggesting that his evolving views had been influenced by his late brother.
But instead, he candidly admitted to confidant Arthur Schlesinger, “Well, I
don’t know what would be best: to say that he [JFK] didn’t spend much time
thinking about Vietnam; or to say that he did and messed it up.”91
As journalist Tom Wicker notes, “Kennedy might
not have expanded the war as President Johnson did in 1964,” however, “It seems less likely that Kennedy had already decided, at the time of his
death, to extricate the nation from the quagmire of Vietnam.. .1 know of no
reputable historian who has documented Kennedy’s intentions, much less found
them the motive for his murder.”92
When all else fails, conspiricists
can always try to pin the assassination on organized
crime. That’s what G. Robert Blakey did. Blakey had worked under Robert Kennedy
at the Justice Department and drafted the landmark Racketeer Influenced and
Corrupt Organizations Act (RICO act)—anti-racketeering legislation that was
signed into law in 1970. As Chief Counsel to the HSCA, he took it upon himself
to explain who had been responsible for the conspiracy indicated by the
committee’s acoustical theory, something the committee declined to do. As the
HSCA ended its investigation, Blakey held a press conference to announce, “I am
now firmly of the opinion that the Mob did it. It is a historical truth. The
Committee report does not say the Mob did it. I said it. I
think the Mob did it.”93 But, as with other suspects, the actual evidence is slim.
Journalist Richard Billings, Blakey’s co-author on the HSCA Report as well as
Blakey’s own conspiracy book, The Plot to Kill the President, summarizes it this way: “The main piece of evidence of Organized
Crime complicity in the conspiracy is Jack Ruby. .. ,[I]f you’re going to
determine the final answer to this crime, the murder of the president, the
character of Ruby is crucial.”94 This is bad news for conspiracy theorists.
As Dallas Morning News columnist Tony Zoppi, who knew Ruby quite well, puts
it, “It is so ludicrous to believe that Ruby was part of the mob. The
conspiracy theorists want to believe everybody but those who really knew him.
.. .He was a real talker, a fellow who would talk your ear off if he had the
chance. You have to be crazy to think anybody would have trusted Ruby to be a
part of the mob. He couldn’t keep a secret for five minutes.”95 As
Vincent Bugliosi points out, Ruby’s personality could hardly be less like that
of a cool, calculating, professional hit man: “FBI agents may have interviewed
close to one hundred people who knew Ruby well, and in their published reports in the Warren Commission volumes
the reader would be hard- pressed to find one interviewee who did not mention
Ruby’s temper, or at least how ‘very emotional’ he was, if the question of
Ruby’s temperament was discussed.”96 He was prone to sudden,
sometimes savage bursts of violence. William Serur knew Ruby for over a decade,
and said that Ruby “explodes and gets mad quicker than any person I ever saw.”97
As he recalled, “In the last few years I thought he might have been suffering
from some form of ... mental disturbance, by the way he acted.”98
In fact, evidence brought out at Ruby’s trial showed that Ruby suffered from
organic brain damage.99 “I don’t think he is sane,” said one
stripper who worked for him.100 American Guild of Variety Artists
official Johnnie Hayden called Ruby a “kook” because of his unpredictable and
erratic outbursts.101 Edward Pullman, whose wife worked for Ruby,
called him “insane. He was a psycho. .. .He was not right.”102
Ruby was many things: small-time nightclub operator,
unsuccessful entrepreneur, barroom brawler, police groupie, would-be FBI
informant (it didn’t work out, as the Bureau concluded that he simply had no useful information to offer).103 However, there is one
thing he was not: a criminal. So says Bill Alexander, who prosecuted Ruby for
Oswald’s murder and sought the death penalty against him. “He didn’t steal. He
didn’t pimp. He wasn’t a drank. Jack wasn’t a lawbreaker.”104
Testifying before the HSCA, Jack Revill of the
Dallas police’s criminal intelligence section rejected the idea that Ruby had
any involvement with organized crime. “Jack Ruby was the type of person who
would have been acquainted with persons involved in gambling activities and other criminal
activities, but as far as Jack Ruby being actively engaged or a member of any
groups, no .. .Jack Ruby was a buffoon. He liked the limelight. He was highly
volatile. He liked to be recognized with people, and I would say this to
this committee: if Jack Ruby was a member of
organized crime, then the personnel director of organized crime should be
replaced.”105 Nevertheless,
conspiracy theorists commonly insist that if Ruby can be shown to have been (to
use Revell’s term) acquainted with suspicious characters, then surely that must prove
something. The most oft-repeated allegation is that Ruby made a number of phone
calls to Mob-connected individuals in the months prior to the assassination, as
documented in black and white by his telephone records. Is this evidence that
the Mafia ordered Oswald’s murder or the Kennedy assassination? No. “Correlation does not mean causation.”106 Just
because one event follows another does not mean they are connected. In fact, a
great deal of testimony indicates that the phone calls in question were
related to Ruby’s professional grievances with the American Guild of Variety
Artists (AGVA), which represented the strippers he employed at his nightclub.
The AGVA “was riddled with corruption and compromised by its mob connections,”107
so anyone dealing with the AGVA could have been rubbing shoulders with the Mob,
whether they realized it or not. There is no evidence that Ruby had any significant
relationship to organized crime or that any of his phone calls or actions were
related to a conspiracy. (In fact, genuine Mob connections would have been most helpful in his lengthly and frustrating battles with the AGVA.)108
How do we navigate a path through
the complex morass of claims, speculation, rumors, and confusion that seems to
hopelessly engulf this subject? We use critical thinking tools to discern the
most reliable evidence.
Immediately following the
assassination, eyewitnesses directed police to two areas in Dealey Plaza:
behind the stockade fence on the grassy knoll, from which many thought they had
heard shots (but where no one had actually seen a
gunman)109 and the sixth floor of the Texas School Book Depository,
where a gunman had been sighted.110 A thorough search of the grassy
knoll area turned up no evidence of any kind: no suspect, no weapon, no spent
shells, and no other evidence of a crime. The Book Depository was another
story: police found shipping cartons of books arranged by a southeast comer
window into a sniper’s perch—where someone could sit and aim a rifle out the
window—surrounded by a wall of cartons that hid the corner from the rest of the
sixth floor. Three spent rifle shells were found nearby. A bolt-action,Italian,
Mannlicher-Carcano rifle was found stashed between boxes on the opposite side
of the floor, on the way to the stairwell. Ballistic markings as distinctive as
fingerprints proved that the three shells had been fired from that rifle to the
exclusion of all others. One nearly intact bullet and several bullet fragments
were recovered from the presidential limousine and at Parkland Hospital; the
bullet and the two largest of the recovered fragments were proved by ballistic
markings—again, as distinctive as fingerprints—to have been fired from that
rifle.111 Who
owned the rifle? Documentary evidence assembled over the next two days
established that the weapon had been purchased through the mail under an
assumed name by Lee Harvey Oswald, one of the few Book Depository employees who
had not gone outside to watch the motorcade. Oswald’s palm print was found on
the weapon, and fingerprints lifted from the trigger housing were later
determined to be his.112 Handwriting experts unanimously agreed
that it was Oswald’s handwriting on the order form, as well as on the paperwork
for the post office box where he had the rifle delivered.113 It was
not necessary for the police to launch a manhunt for Oswald; he was already
under arrest for the murder of police officer J. D. Tippit, gunned down
approximately 45 minutes after the President’s murder. Oswald had fled the
scene of the crime, taken a cab to the room he rented in suburban Oak Cliff,
apparently picked up the handgun he had also purchased through the mail, and
then killed the first police officer he encountered.114
The autopsy of the President—as well as the
medical examination of Texas Governor John Connally, who was critically wounded
during the shooting but survived—confirmed that the shots had come from above
and behind the limousine, not the grassy knoll.115 Later reviews of
the autopsy photographs and X-rays by panels of forensic experts appointed by
Attorney General Ramsey Clark in 1968, the Rockefeller Commission in 1975, and
the HSCA in 1978 affirmed the conclusions of the autopsy report.116
Following Oswald’s lead (“I’m just a patsy!” he
famously cried; “Don’t believe all that so-called evidence,” he told his
brother)117, it has become an article of faith for many conspiracy
theorists that any hard evidence implicating Oswald must be forged: the autopsy
report, the autopsy photographs and X-rays, the ballistic evidence, the crime
scene evidence, the handwriting evidence, the “backyard photos” of Oswald with
the murder weapon—all forged. The HSCA’s panel of photographic experts
subjected the autopsy materials and the backyard photographs to exhaustive
tests to uncover evidence of fakery; no such evidence could be found.118
But the release of the committee’s report in 1979 did nothing to stem the tide
of speculation. No evidence was safe from accusations of forgery—not even the
legendary Zapruder film or the minutely studied Moorman Polaroid, and not even
excluding the slain president’s body itself. Such hypotheses are constructs
arising from the a priori assumption that Lee Oswald had been framed by evil forces capable
of ruthlessly accomplishing anything they desired—anything, that is, except
removing John F. Kennedy from office by any means other than a public
execution in broad daylight.
The Single Bullet Theory
Of
all the Warren Commission’s findings, none has been so contentious as the
single bullet theory, the conclusion that the bullet which inflicted the first
wound to the President at the base of the neck exited his throat and went on to
inflict several wounds to Governor John B. Connally, seated in front of the
President. Critics commonly suggest that the scenario was fabricated out of
thin air in order to explain how a lone gunman could have fired the shots in
the requisite time, as established by the Zapruder film.
According to then-Warren Commission
junior counsel (and later five-term U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania) Arlen
Specter, it was James J. Humes, the pathologist who supervised the autopsy of
the slain President, who first voiced the possibility that JFK and Governor
Connally had been struck by the same bullet.119 During his March
16,1964, testimony, Humes noted that “as much as we could ascertain from our
X-rays and physical examinations, this missile struck no bony structures in
traversing the body of the late President.” Referring to a frame in the Zapruder
film at approximately the time of the first bullet strike, Humes stated, “I see
that Governor Connally is sitting directly in front of the late President, and
suggest the possibility that this missile, having traversed the low neck of the
late President, in fact traversed the chest of Governor Connally.”120
If Humes was right, it would explain not only
the timing of the shooting, but also where the first bullet that struck the
President went after exiting his body (as no bullet was found in the car, and
there was no damage from such a bullet). It would also explain why the
entrance wound on Governor Connally’s back was ovoid rather than the typically
round shape of a bullet entrance wound (because its passage through the
President’s body caused it to yaw or tumble).121 Arlen Specter and others serving with the Warren Commission were
initially skeptical of the hypothesis,122 but a reconstruction of
the shooting by agents of the FBI and Secret Service in Dealey Plaza affirmed
its plausibility.123 With slight qualification, the commission
endorsed the theory.124 To Warren Commission critics, be they
assassination buffs or experts as distinguished as Cyril Wecht, the hypothesis
is utterly untenable. Wecht is proud to point out that he was the advisor
responsible for shaping one of the most memorable scenes in Oliver Stone’s JFK,125 in which the single bullet theory is ridiculed by actor Kevin
Costner and denounced as “One of the grossest lies ever forced on the American
people.”126 But
Wecht’s information, and therefore the widely seen portrayal of the theory, was
glaringly inaccurate.127 Wecht had been one of nine highly distinguished
members of the HSCA’s forensic pathology panel,128 and was surely
aware that the panel had found his understanding of the evidence flawed and his
arguments to be without merit. The panel (with Wecht’s dissent noted) concluded
that the evidence unequivocally supported the single bullet theory.129
(In response, Wecht could only speculate about possible government
affiliations that could taint his colleagues’ integrity.)130
The single bullet theory was supported by others
consulted by the House committee, including photographic expert Calvin McCamy,
who chaired a panel of 20 experts who utilized the Zapruder film and
photogrammetric techniques to plot the precise positions of JFK and Governor
Connally in the limousine;131 and NASA staff engineer Thomas
Canning (that’s right, an actual rocket scientist), who plotted the
trajectories of the shots that struck the two men.132 Meticulous reconstructions of the shooting by the British
Broadcasting Company,133 the Discovery Channel,134 and
Dr. John Lattimer,135 as well as highly accurate 3D computer models
of the assassination by Failure Analysis Associates, Inc. (now Exponent),136
and Emmy-award winning animator Dale Myers137 have confirmed again
and again the plausibility, if not certainty, of the single bullet theory.
Vincent Bugliosi concludes, “‘the single-bullet theory’ is an obvious misnomer. Though in its incipient stages it was but
a theory, the indisputable evidence is that it is now a proven fact, a wholly supported conclusion.”138
Why
did Oswald do it? The Warren Commission heard testimony and examined
psychological evaluations from his teen years suggesting he was a greatly
troubled individual.139 He had documented in his own words the
contempt he felt for the capitalist system of government and the United States
in particular.140 The commission heard testimony indicating a
history of violence, from the time he threatened his sister-in-law with a knife
as a teen,141 to the numerous witnesses who testified about the
physical abuse he directed at his wife.142 Documentary evidence
supports his widow’s testimony that Oswald had made a failed assassination
attempt against local radical right extremist Major General Edwin Walker, a
vehement detractor of Oswald’s idol, Fidel Castro.143 Oswald’s
interest in Castro, of course, is well documented, including his pro-Cuba
street protests in the summer of 1963, and his failed attempt to secure a visa
to Cuba in October of that year.144 The commission heard testimony
that Oswald aspired to greatness, though greatness had thus far eluded him;145
that he believed that societal change could only be 1 brought about by violent
means;146 that he had access to information published in 1963
indicating that the Kennedy administration was seeking to remove Castro from
power using covert, violent methods.147 Oswald never confessed to the assassination, so it is impossible
to state definitively what his motives were. But when a mentally unstable,
radically leftist, violently inclined Castro idolater like Oswald, with
aspirations to greatness and a belief in the power of violence to enact
political change, murders the man who is at once the personification of a
social structure he despises and the man Fidel Castro has singled out as his greatest
enemy, and who already made an assassination attempt on Major General Walker,
it makes sense.
As author David Aaronovitch
discusses in his book, Voodoo Histories, it has become fashionable in recent
years to defend conspiracy theories—even politically incorrect to challenge
them—regardless of their truth or falsity. When New York Times reporter Nicholas Kulish criticized film director Spike Lee for
making “utterly unfounded charges that the failed levees [in Louisiana during
Hurricane Katrina] were blown up to flood poor black neighborhoods,” Kulish was
attacked for denying the “alternative perspectives” of black Louisiana
residents. “In other words,” Aaronovitch observes, “the possible untruth of the
allegations was far less important than the bigger truths [supposedly] revealed
by them. So, in that sense, arguing about whether there really had been a
conspiracy was not just beside the point, but amounted to an attempt to try and
deny the larger alternative truth.148
This is an approach that dovetails with an intellectual trend,
loosely labeled postmodernist or post-structuralist, which has become
increasingly attractive to academics and intellectuals in recent years. One
aspect of this inclination is a distrust of normative notions of truth. ‘You show me your reality,’ it suggests, ‘I’ll show you mine,’ and the man in
Maine with a lobster in his hand will show you his. All accounts of events are
essentially stories, and no single account ought to be privileged above another.
It is a
seductive and not entirely worthless way of looking at the world.149
Similarly, Oliver Stone once
posed the question, “What is history? Some people say it’s a bunch of gossip
made up by soldiers who passed it around a campfire. They say such and such
happened. They create, they make it bigger, they make it better. .. .The
nature of human beings is that they exaggerate. So, what is history? Who the
fuck knows?”150 In their reliance on inherently
unreliable eyewitness testimony; in lay interpretations of forensic evidence
(such as the “head snap” in the Zapruder film); in invocations of pseudo- or
junk science (like the acoustical theory endorsed by the HSCA); in confusing
rumors or even pure speculation for reality151 (Oswald was a secret
agent, Ruby was a mobster, Robert F. Kennedy and Martin Luther King, Jr. were
killed by the same men who killed JFK; it’s all connected); in the
rationalization of failure after failure152 (evidence implicates
Oswald, so it must be forged; experts interpret evidence as disproof of a conspiracy
theory, so they must be lying); in the use of after-the- fact reasoning153
(Ruby killed Oswald, so Ruby must be connected to the assassination; Ruby made
phone calls to Mob-related individuals, so the Mob must have killed JFK); in
the failure to understand the role of coincidence and the significance of
representativeness154 (events such as the deaths of alleged
witnesses—no matter whether they really were witnesses or not—cannot
possibly be a coincidence; it must be a conspiracy); in their systematic
embrace of methods such as these, the Warren Commission critics (and—mea culpa—I used to be one of them) have been and remain wrong. The
conspiracy theories stem from logical fallacies, not legitimate arguments.
But that is
not the end of the story.
Recent research conducted by Viren
Swami at the University of Westminster in England
found that believers in conspiracy theories “are more
likely to be cynical about the world in general and politics in particular,”
writes science journalist Maggie Koerth-Baker. “Conspiracy theories also seem
to be more compelling to those with low self-worth, especially with regard to
their sense of agency in the world at large. Conspiracy theories appear to be a
way of reacting to uncertainty and powerlessness.”155 “If you know
the truth and others don’t, that’s one way you can reassert feelings of having
agency,” Swami says. “It can be comforting to do your own research even if that
research is flawed,” notes Koerth-Baker. “It feels good to be the wise old goat
in a flock of sheep.”156 And, really, where is the harm? We
accuse the government of criminal actions; so what? We know
agents of the government frequently engage in unethical and illegal acts; so why not
point fingers? Is it really such a bad thing if some of the specific charges
happen not to be true? Of course it is. Facts matter. The truth matters. Reckless
accusations can never be justified, regardless of one’s intentions. And new
research suggests that conspiracy theories in themselves can actually be quite
harmful. “Psychologists aren’t sure whether powerlessness causes conspiracy
theories or vice versa,” writes Maggie Koerth-Baker. “Either way, the current
scientific thinking suggests these beliefs are nothing more than an extreme
form of cynicism, a turning away from politics and traditional media—which
only perpetuates the problem.”157 Research conducted by
psychologist Karen Douglas and Daniel Jolley at the University of Kent in
England showed that people exposed to conspiracy theories were more likely than
others to withdraw from participation in the democratic process.158
It gets worse. Research
conducted by Stephan Lewandowsky and others at the University of Western Australia
School of Psychology found that belief in conspiracy theories significantly
predicted a subject’s rejection of scientific
findings such as climate
science, the correlation between HIV and AIDS, and the link between smoking and
lung cancer. The authors note, “Our results provide empirical support for previous
suggestions that conspiratorial thinking contributes to the rejection of
science.”159 Research shows that those who believe AIDS was created by the
government are less likely to practice protected sex.160 “And if you
believe that governments or corporations are hiding evidence that vaccines
harm children,” Koerth-Baker notes, “you’re less likely to have your children
vaccinated. The result: pockets of measles and whooping-cough infections and a
few deaths in places with low child-vaccination rates.”161
Conspiracy theories can
actually kill you.
Of course, there is a way out of all
this: base your beliefs on facts, not the other way around. Dare to be, like
James Randi, “obsessed with reality.” By embracing the reality of the past instead
of myths, we can make the most of the present and map out a better future.
For some,
the era of Kennedy is remembered as “Camelot,” a Golden Age. To others, it was
a time of persistent racial segregation, oppression, and violence; the Cold War
and the arms race; and bloody, tragically misunderstood uprisings in Southeast
Asia and Latin America. One may find many things to admire about JFK without
turning a blind eye to his lack of effectiveness in advancing the civil rights
legislation he championed, his secret war against Cuba, or his lapses in judgment
with regard to personal behavior that threatened to compromise the integrity
and security of his office.
But even if
JFK was the white knight some would make him out to be, did his death really
reverse the direction of politics in the United States? British scholar Peter
Knight asks, “If the Kennedy assassination is the result of a conspiracy by
reactionary forces to pervert the course of history, as self-professed
liberals such as Oliver Stone claim, then what about civil rights, feminism,
gay and lesbian rights, and the ecology movement? Conspiratorial accounts of
the political shootings of the 1960s as the moment when everything went wrong
thus require a certain blindness to the progressive landmarks of that decade
and after.”162 In the final analysis (as he himself
was wont to say), those Who seek to honor John F. Kennedy’s memory would be
best advised to honor the goals he set for the nation and the freedoms and
institutions he pledged to uphold, and to participate in the democracy he
pledged to serve.
Though much
has changed in the world, we might recall some of the words with which
President Kennedy challenged friend and foe alike at his 1961 inauguration:
Let both sides explore what problems unite us instead of belaboring
those problems which divide us....
Let both
sides seek to invoke the wonders of science instead of its terrors. Together
let us explore the stars, conquer the deserts, eradicate disease, tap the ocean
depths, and encourage the arts and commerce.
Let both
sides unite to heed in all corners of the earth the command of Isaiah—to “undo
the heavy burdens.. .and to let the oppressed go free.”
And if a beachhead of cooperation may push back the jungle of suspicion,
let both sides join in creating a new endeavor, not a new balance of power, but
a new world of law, where the strong are just and the weak secure and the peace
preserved.
All this
will not be finished in the first too days. Nor will it be finished in the
first 1,000 days, nor in the life of this Administration, nor even perhaps in
our lifetime on this planet. But let us begin.163
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2. O’Hehir, Andrew. 1991. “JFK: Tragedy into
Farce." San Francisco Weekly, December 18, in Stone, Oliver, and
Sklar, Zachary. 1992. JFK: The Book of the
Film: The Documented Screenplay.New York: Applause, 270.
3. Shermer,
Michael. 1997. Why People Believe Weird Things: Pseudoscience, Superstition, and Other
Confusions of Our Time. New York: MJF, xvii.
4. Stone, Oliver, and Zachary, Sklar. 1992. JFK: The Book of
the Film: The Documented Screenplay. New
York: Applause, 231.
5. Fonzi,
Gaeton. 1998. "We Know the Truth. ” http://home.comcast.net/~johnkelin/fifty/fonzi.html
6.
McAdams, John. 2011. JFK Assassination
Logic: How to Think About Claims of Conspiracy. Washington, D.C.: Potomac, 6-11.
7. Jack Franzen: http://mcadams.posc.mu.edu/earwitnesses.htm
Austin Miller: McAdams, John. 2011. JFK Assassination
Logic: How to Think About Claims of Conspiracy. Washington, D.C.: Potomac, 3. Mary
Ann Moorman: KRLD radio interview, November 22, 1963, 3:30 PM, transcribed by
David Litton, posted online by Jack White, February 16, 2007. http://education-
forum.ipbhost.com/index.php?show- topic=17664&page=4
8. http://mcadams.posc.mu.edu/witnesses.htm
9.
Hill, Jean. 1963. Voluntary
Statement, Sheriff’s Department, County of Dallas. November 22. http://jfk.ci.dallas.tx.
us/12/ 1294-001.gif
10. Palamara, Vince. 1997. “The ‘Dead’ Secret
Service Agent and the Agent(s) on the Knoll.” JFK/Deep Politics Quarterly. October, http://www.acorn.net/jfkplace/03/VP/0034-VP.TXT
11.
Sneed, Larry A. 1998. No More Silence: An Oral History of the Assassination
of President Kennedy. Dallas: Three Forks Press, 23.
12. Tabulation by Joel Grant, http://mcadams.posc.mu.edu/shots.htm
(The author has performed an independent tabulation consistent with Grant’s
findings.)
14.
Loftus, Elizabeth F. 1979. Eyewitness Testimony. Cambridge, Massachusetts: Harvard University Press, 33-34.
15. Bugliosi, Vincent. 2007. Reclaiming History: The Assassination of President John F. Kennedy. New York: W.W.
Norton, 848.
16. Bugliosi. 2007, 847.
17. Ibid.
18. McAdams. 2011,13.
19. Bugliosi. 2007, 415.
20. McAdams. 2011, 28-30. See also Bugliosi. 2007,
403-16.
21. Bugliosi. 2007, 408.
22. Lifton,
David S. 1998. Best Evidence: Disguise and Deception in the Assassination of John F.
Kennedy. New York: Carroll & Graf, 9-10.
23. Ibid.
24. Lifton, David. 2013. E-mail to author, July 26.
25. Kelin, John. 2007. Praise from a Future Generation: The Assassination of John F. Kennedy
and the First Generation Critics of the Warren Report. San Antonio: Wings Press, 220-21.
See also Lifton. 1998,10. See also http:// www.acorn.net/jfkplace/09/fp.back_
issues/33rd_lssue/no_5.html and http://www.acorn.net/jfkplace/09/Kelin34/no_5_rev.html
26.
Trask, Richard B. 1994. Pictures of the Pain:
Photography and the Assassination of President Kennedy. Danvers, Massachusetts: Yeoman Press, 254. See also http://mcadams.posc.mu.edu/arnold4.htm
27.
http://www.jfkfiles.com/jfk/html/
badgeman.htm
28.
Lifton. 1998,10-11. Lifton
still has suspicions about his Number 5 Man, however. Lifton, David. 2013.
E-mail to author, July 26.
29. McAdams. 2011,125-29. Trask.1994, 338-48.
30. Marrs, Jim. 1989. Crossfire: The Plot That Killed Kennedy. New York: Carroll & Graf, 333.
31. Bugliosi. 2007, 907.
32. Cochran, Mike. 1983. “Warren Commission Critics
Push Cover-Up Theory." The Press-Courier (Oxnard, California). November 7. http://news.google.com/newspapers?id=5yFKAAAAIBAJ&sjid=FCINAAAAIBAJ&pg=6854%2C836077
33.
McAdams. 2011, 125-29.
34. Trask. 1994, 339-48.
35. Trask. 1994, 345-47.
36. Trask. 1994, 172.
37. Trask. 1994,173. Also see: http:// www.jfk-online.com/jfklOOtum.html
Hinckle, Warren. 1974. If You Have a Lemon,
Make Lemonade. New York: G. P. Putnam’s Sons,
225.
38..http://www.acorn.net/jfkplace/09/fpback_issues/09thjssue/ramparts.html
39.
McAdams. 2011, 98-112. See
also: http: //mcadams.pose.mu.edu/ deaths.htm
40.
Hinckle. 1974, 227.
41. Stone
and Sklar. 1992,165.
42. President Gerald Ford, who had served on the
Warren Commission, created the United States President’s Commission on CIA
Activities within the United States—better
known as the Rockefeller Commission, after its chairman, Vice-President Nelson
Rockefeller—to address allegations of illegal domestic activity by the CIA. In
order to address the concerns of the Warren Commission critics, the Rockefeller
Commission investigated aspects of the Kennedy assassination, including the
"head snap.” The members of the medical panel were: Lieutenant Colonel
Robert R. McMeekin, MC, USA, Chief, Division of Aerospace Pathology, Armed
Forces Institute of Pathology, Washington, D.C.; Richard Lindenberg, M.D.,
Director of Neuropathology & Legal Medicine, Department of Mental Health,
State of Maryland, Baltimore, Maryland; Werner U. Spitz, M.D., Chief Medical
Examiner, Wayne County, Detroit, Michigan; Fred J. Hodges III, M.D., Professor
of Radiology, The Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland; and
Alfred G. Olivier, V.M.D., Director, Department of Biophysics, Biomedical
Laboratories, Edgewood Arsenal, Aberdeen Proving Grounds, Maryland.
43. McAdams. 2011, 130.
44. Ibid.
45. Trask. 1994,124-25. See also http://www.jfk-online.com/jfkl00shot5.html
46.
McAdams. 2011,130-31.
47. The Secret KGB JFK
Assassination Files.
Dir. David McKenzie. Madacy, 2000. DVD.
48. McAdams. 2011, 131.
49. Report of the Select
Committee on Assassinations of the U.S. House of Representatives. 1979. Washington. D.C.: United
States Government Printing Office, 65-84 (hereafter cited as HSCA Report). The
report is online at http://www.archives.gov/research/jfk /select-committee-report/
50. National Academy of Sciences, Report of the
Committee on Ballistic Acoustics. 1982. Washington, D.C.: National Academy
Press. http://www.jfk-online.com/nasOO.html
See also Bugliosi. 2007, Endnotes and Source Notes CD-ROM: Endnotes, 153-218.
51. Bugliosi. 2007, 1264-65.
52. Manchester, William. 1988. The Death of a
President: November 20-25, 1963. New York: Harper & Row, 407.
53. Ibid.
54. Bugliosi. 2007, 320-21.
55. Moss,
Armand. 1987, Disinformation, Misinformation, and the "Conspiracy" to Kill
JFK Exposed. Hamden, Connecticut: Archon.
56. Bugliosi. 2007, 1267-68.
57. Meagher,
Sylvia. 1992. Accessories after the Fact: The Warren Commission, the Authorities, and
the Report. Vintage, xxi. New York.
58. Ibid.
59. Bugliosi. 2007, 169-70.
60. Sneed. 1998, 550-51.
61. Report of the
President's Commission on the Assassination of President John F. Kennedy. 1964.
Washington, D.C.: United States
Government Printing Office, 728-29 (hereafter cited as Warren Report). The
report is online at http://www.archives.gov/research/jfk/warren-commission-report/index.html
62. McAdams. 2011,162.
63. Warren Report. 1964, 734-35.
64. Salandria, Vincent J. 2000. “The JFK
Assassination: A False Mystery Concealing State Crimes." Fair Play,
July (typographical errors corrected), http://spot.acorn.net/jfkplace/09/fp.backjssues/35th_lssue/vs_text.html
65.
Schotz, E. Martin. 1996. History Will Not Absolve Us: Orwellian Control,
Public Denial, and the Murder of President Kennedy. Brookline, Massachusetts:
Kurtz, Ulmer & DeLucia, 4.
66. Fonzi, Gaeton. 1998, op cit.
67. Ibid.
68. Bugliosi, 2007, 1189.
69. Bugliosi, 2007, 1190.
70. Russo. 1998, 35.
71. Holland,
2004. The Kennedy Assassination Tapes: The White House Conversations of
Lyndon B. Johnson regarding the Assassination, the Warren Commission, and the
Aftermath. New York: Alfred A. Knopf, 120. See also Russo,
Gus. 1998. Live by the Sword: The Secret War against Castro and the Death of JFK.
Baltimore: Bancroft, 362.
72. Russo. 1998, 32-34.
73. Bugliosi. 2007, xxxii.
74. Bugliosi. 2007, xlii.
75. White, Theodore H. 1963. “For President
Kennedy: An Epilogue." Life. December 6.158-59.
77. Ibid.
78. The Pentagon Papers, Gravel Edition, Volume 2.1971.
Boston: Beacon Press, 201. https://www.mtholyoke.edu/acad
/intrel/pentagon2/pent6.htm
79.
Stone and Sklar. 1992,106.
80. Stone and Sklar. 1992, 69-71,180-82.
81. Newman. 1992, 427.
82. Newman. 1992, 320.
83. Schlesinger. 1978, 722.
84. Stone and Sklar. 1992, 292.
85. Rust,
William J. 1987. Kennedy in Vietnam: American Vietnam Policy 1960- 63. New
York: Da Capo, x.
86. Newman. 1992, 427.
89.
Shesol, Jeff. 1997. Mutual Contempt: Lyndon Johnson, Robert Kennedy,
and the Feud That Defined a Decade. New York: W.W.
Norton, 267-68, 277-80.
90. Shesol. 1997, 267.
91. Schlesinger. 1978, 738.
92. Stone and Sklar. 1992, 242.
93. Fonzi, Gaeton. 1993. The Last Investigation. New York: Thunder’s Mouth, 12.
94. Bugliosi. 2007, 1078.
95. Posner,
Gerald. 1993. Case Closed: Lee Harvey Oswald and the Assassination of JFK. New
York: Random House, 361.
96. Bugliosi. 2007, 1116.
97. Ibid.
98. Posner. 1993, 359.
99. Bugliosi. 2007, 1133.
100. Posner. 1993, 359.
101. Ibid.
102. Ibid.
103. McAdams. 2011, 87.
104. Bugliosi. 2007,1131. Ruby did have an arrest
record for several minor infractions, including carrying a concealed weapon,
and a spotty driving record. (Bugliosi. 2007,1099-1100.)
105. Bugliosi. 2007, 1131.
106. Shermer. 1997, 53.
107. Posner. 1993, 363. See also Bugliosi. 2007,
1103-08.
108. Posner. 1993, 350-403. See also Bugliosi.
2007, 1071-1188.
109. Eyewitness Jean Hill began claiming in the
1980s that she had seen a man fire a gun from the grassy knoll; but on the
afternoon of the assassination, she stated very specifically in a filmed
interview with NBC affiliate WBAP, “No,
I didn’t see any person fire the weapon, I only heard it." Trask, 238-
A woman named Beverly Oliver also began claiming, among many other
doubtful things, that she had seen a grassy knoll gunman. It has never been
established with any certainty that Oliver was an eyewitness to the
assassination in the first place. See: http://mcadams.posc.mu.
edu/arnoldl.htm. Then there is the case of Virgil “Ed” Hoffman, a deaf mute,
who first came forward in 1967 to indicate he had witnessed something
suspicious behind the Texas School Book Depository, and years later told a
variety of stories about a gunman and an accomplice behind the fence on the
knoll. See: http://mcadams.posc.mu.edu/hoffman.htm
110.
Warren Report. 1964,
63-79,143-47.
111. Warren Report. 1964, 79-85.
112. Warren
Report. 1964, 118-24. Fingerprints: Savage, Gary. 1993. JFK First Day
Evidence: Stored Away for 30 Years in an Old Briefcase, New Evidence Is Now
Revealed by Former Dallas Police Crime Lab Detective R. W. (Rusty) Livingstone. Monroe,
Louisiana: The Shoppe Press, 101-20.
113. Warren Report. 1964,118-22.
114. Warren Report. 1964,156-80.
115. Warren Report. 1964, 85-96.
116. William H. Carnes, M.D., et al. 1968 Panel
Review of Photographs, X-Ray Films, Documents and Other Evidence Pertaining to
the Fatal Wounding of President John F. Kennedy on November 22,1963, in Dallas,
Texas. http://www.
history-matters.com/archive/jfk/arrb /master_med_set/md59/html/ Image00.htm
Report to the President by the Commission on CIA Activities within the United
States. 1975. Washington, D.C.: U.S. Government Printing
Office, 257-64.
117. Leahy, Michael. 1997. “Lee Harvey Oswald: A
Brother’s Burden.” Arkansas
Democrat-Gazette.
November 16. http://web.archive.org/web/20070213051726/http://www.ardemgaz.com/prev/oswald/index.asp
118.
Hearings before the
Subcommittee on the Assassination of John F. Kennedy of the Select Committee on
Assassinations, House of Representatives,
Vol. VI. 1979. Washington, D.C.: U.S. Government Printing Office, 138-46 (hereafter
cited as HSCA Hearings). HSCA Hearings, Vol. VII. 1979, 37-41.
119. Specter, Arlen, with Robbins, Charles. 2000. Passion for Truth:
From Finding JFK’s Single Bullet to Questioning Anita Hill to Impeaching
Clinton. New York: William Morrow, 80.
120. Hearings before the
President's Commission on the Assassination of President Kennedy, Volume II. 1964. Washington, D.C.:
United States Government Printing Office, 375.
121. Bugliosi. 2007, 460-63.
122. McAdams. 2011, 243-44.
123. Warren Report. 1964, 96-109.
124. Warren Report, 19.
125. Fuoco, Michael A. November 16,
“40 years on, Arlen Specter and Cyril Wecht still don’t agree how
JFK died.” Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. http://old.post-gazette.com/local-news/20031116jfklll6p3.asp
126.
Stone and Sklar. 1992, 152.
128. The nine members were: John I. Coe, M.D.,
chief medical examiner of Hennepin County, Minnesota; Joseph H. Davis, M.D.,
chief medical examiner of Dade County, Miami, Florida; George S. Loquvam, M.D.,
director of the Institute of Forensic Sciences, Oakland, California; Charles S.
Petty, M.D., chief medical examiner, Dallas County, Dallas, Texas; Earl Rose,
M.D., LL.B., professor of pathology, University of Iowa, Iowa City, Iowa;
Werner V. Spitz, M.D., medical examiner of Detroit, Michigan; Cyril H. Wecht,
M.D., J.D., coroner of Allegheny County, Pennsylvania; James T. Weston, M.D.,
chief medical investigator, University of New Mexico School of Medicine,
Albuquerque, New Mexico; panel chairman Michael M. Baden, M.D., chief medical
examiner, New York City.
129. HSCA Report. 1979, 44.
130. HSCA Hearings, Vol. I. 1979, 354
131.
HSCA Hearings, Vol. II.
1979, 142-47. http://www.history-matters.com/archive/jfk/hsca/reportvols/vol2/html/HSCA_Vol2_0073b.htm
132.
HSCA Hearings, Vol. II.
1979, 154- 203. http://www.history-matters.com/archive/jfk/hsca/reportvols/vol2/html/HSCA_Vol2_0079b.htm
133.
The Secret KGB JFK
Assassination Files. Dir. David McKenzie. Madacy,
2000. DVD.
134. “JFK: Beyond the Magic Bullet.” Unsolved History. Discovery Channel, Television.
135. Lattimer, John K., M.D., Sc.D., F.A.C.S. 1980.
Kennedy and Lincoln: Medical and Ballistic
Comparisons of Their Assassinations. New York: Harcourt Brace Jovanovich, 260-91. Lattimer, John K.,
M.D., et al. 1994. "Experimental Duplication of the Important Physical
Evidence of the Lapel Bulge of the Jacket Worn by Governor Connally When Bullet
399 Went Through Him.” Journal of the
American College of Surgeons, May. http://mcadams.posc.mu.edu/Lattimer.txt
136. American Bar Association Mock Trial, U.S. vs.
Lee Harvey Oswald. Court TV, 1992. Television.
137. Myers, Dale K. Secrets of a Homicide: JFK Assassination. 2008. Web. http://www.jfkfiles.com/jfk/html/concl2.htm
138. Bugliosi. 2007, 489-90. See also McAdams.
2011, 217-46.
139. Bugliosi. 2007, 531-37.
140. Bugliosi. 2007, 948.
141. Bugliosi. 2007, 528.
142. Posner. 1993, 80-81, 83, 85, 93-97, 99, 102
Bugliosi. 2007, 688-97.
142. Bugliosi. 2007, 718-59.
144. Bugliosi. 2007, 938-39.
145. Bugliosi. 2007, 937.
146. Bugliosi. 2007, 940-41. See also: Newman,
Albert H. 1970. The Assassination of
John F. Kennedy: The Reasons Why. New York: Clarkson N. Potter, 1970, 22-6.
148. Aaronovitch. 2010, 344-45.
149. Aaronovitch. 2010, 345.
150. Stone and Sklar. 1992, 208.
151. Shermer. 1997, 51.
152. Shermer. 1997, 53.
153. Shermer. 1997, 53.
154. Shermer. 1997, 54.
155. Koerth-Baker, Maggie. 2013. “Why Rational
People Buy into Conspiracy Theories.” The New York Times Magazine. May 21. http://www.nytimes.com/2013/05/26/magazine/why-rational-
people-buy-into-conspiracy-theories.html?pagewanted=all&_r=l&
156. Ibid.
157. Ibid.
158. Ibid.
159. Lewandowsky, Stephan, et al. 2012. “NASA Faked
the Moon Landing— Therefore, (Climate) Science Is a Hoax: An Anatomy of the
Motivated Rejection of Science.” Psychological
Science. May. http://websites.psychology.uwa.edu.au/labs/cogscience/documents /LskyetalPsychScienceinPressClimate-Conspiracy.pdf
160.
Koerth-Baker. 2013. See
also Lewandowsky, et al. 2012.
161. Koerth-Baker. 2013.
162. Knight, Peter. 2000. Conspiracy Culture: From Kennedy to the X Files. New York: Routledge, 80.
163. http://www.bartleby.com/124/pres
56.html